Bay City Regional Airport

08/19/2026

Let's take to the sky on the 87th annual Aviation Day!

08/14/2026

🌀 FRIDAY MORNING TROPICAL UPDATE
📅 August 14, 2026

Good morning! We continue to monitor two tropical disturbances across the Atlantic, but there is currently no immediate tropical threat to the Gulf Coast or the continental United States.

Here’s the latest:

🟡 INVEST 92L — CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC | DEVELOPMENT CHANCES DECREASING

Invest 92L is a tropical wave located about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become increasingly disorganized.

Conditions ahead are also becoming less favorable for development.

🔹 48-Hour Formation Chance: 30% — LOW
🔹 7-Day Formation Chance: 30% — LOW
🔹 Thunderstorm activity has become less organized
🔹 Increasing upper-level winds should create a more hostile environment
🔹 Dry air will also make additional organization more difficult
🔹 Overall development chances continue to decrease

🌧️ LESSER ANTILLES IMPACTS

Even if 92L fails to develop into a tropical depression or storm, the wave could still bring unsettled weather to portions of the Lesser Antilles.

🔸 Gusty winds are possible
🔸 Periods of heavy rainfall could occur
🔸 Impacts are most likely Friday night into Saturday

Residents and visitors across the islands should continue monitoring the system.

🟠 INVEST 94L — EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC | ONE TO WATCH

Farther east, Invest 94L is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

The system remains disorganized this morning, but unlike 92L, the environment surrounding 94L is expected to become generally favorable for gradual development.

🔹 48-Hour Formation Chance: 30% — LOW
🔹 7-Day Formation Chance: 50% — MEDIUM
🔹 Gradual organization is possible during the next several days
🔹 A tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend
🔹 The system should continue generally westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic

👀 BOTTOM LINE

The trend with 92L is encouraging, with development becoming less likely as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.

Our attention will increasingly turn toward 94L, which currently has the better opportunity for development farther out in the Atlantic.

There is no reason for anyone along the U.S. Gulf Coast to be concerned at this time. Both systems remain far away, and there is plenty of time to watch how the overall pattern evolves.

🌀 Watch the tropics — don’t worry about the tropics.

08/13/2026

Bay City Council approved steps to move forward with a Jet-A fuel farm expansion at Bay City Regional Airport during its Tuesday, July 28, meeting.

08/12/2026

🌀 ACTIVE AUGUST | THE ATLANTIC IS WAKING UP

It’s almost like magic — the calendar flips to August, and suddenly the Atlantic starts coming alive. We now have Cristobal spinning harmlessly across the open Atlantic, while two tropical waves farther south deserve our attention.

🔴 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL

• Cristobal formed well out in the open Atlantic — essentially in the middle of nowhere.
• It should be a short-lived tropical storm, lasting only about another day or so.
• It poses no threat to the United States or the Caribbean.

🔴 INVEST 92L — THE FRONT RUNNER

Invest 92L has a high chance of tropical development as it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic.

• Additional organization is possible over the next couple of days.
• However, conditions should become increasingly hostile as the system approaches the islands.
• Strong wind shear could significantly disrupt or weaken the system.
• Regardless of development, the disturbance could bring beneficial rainfall to portions of the islands.

🟠 THE WAVE BEHIND 92L — THIS ONE HAS MY ATTENTION

This may ultimately become the more interesting system to watch.

• The National Hurricane Center has increased development chances for this disturbance.
• The ECMWF (EURO) and Google AI guidance have also shown increasing interest in its potential development.
• It has a long journey across the Atlantic, so there is plenty of time for things to change.
• The Lesser Antilles and surrounding islands should monitor its progress, as the disturbance could be approaching the region in roughly a week.

👀 POTENTIAL LONG TRACKER?

This second wave has the potential to become our first true long-tracking tropical system of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.

That does not mean a hurricane or landfall is guaranteed. At this range, we’re watching the overall pattern and trends rather than focusing on any individual model run.

There is plenty of time to watch it, and there is no reason for anyone along the U.S. coastline to be concerned at this point.

🌀 NEXT ATLANTIC NAMES:
🍊 Dolly
🍒 Edouard

August is here — and the Atlantic appears to know it.

Stay tuned. We’ll continue tracking both waves closely as the forecast becomes clearer.

07/24/2026

The airport has moved back to “Normal” weather conditions status now that Bertha is no more as of yesterday.

07/23/2026

07/22/2026

4 PM Update: Tropical Storm Bertha made landfall in St. Bernard Parish earlier this afternoon. The latest forecast calls for the storm to re-emerge over the Gulf and move toward the Texas coast as a weak tropical storm. As the storms moves toward South Texas, 1-3 inches of rainfall are forecast (but primarily along the coastal areas) with isolated higher amounts between Thursday night and Friday. Stay tuned for the latest updates.

07/22/2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms associated with the outer bands of Tropical Storm Bertha are expected today. The region is under a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather, with potential impacts including damaging wind gusts, brief heavy downpours, and frequent lightning.

07/22/2026

10AM Wednesday Bertha Update:
A new track forecast just dropped from the National Hurricane Center, and it shows a minimal tropical storm passing somewhere near Houston and Galveston tomorrow evening.

As I mentioned in my previous post, this will be no worse than anything we experienced last month during Tropical Storm Arthur when winds gusted above 60 mph along the coast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will pass through during the afternoon and evening, and there will be a little wind and some minor coastal flooding possible along the coast. For most of us it will be business as usual and not see much different from a typical summer day with a chance for rain.

Remember that we do have an ABC13 Weather Watch today due to the extreme heat (record high of 104° in Houston, heat index as high as 115°) and the strong thunderstorms that will develop in the late afternoon and early evening. One or two of those storms could produce severe wind gusts over 60 mph and knock out the power in isolated spots.

We'll keep an eye on the Gulf, thermometer, and 13 Alert Radar for you today, and by 1PM we'll have our next update on Bertha from the National Hurricane Center, which I'll stream live at abc13.com/live.

13 Alert Radar: abc13.com/13alertradar
Full forecast: abc13.com/forecast
Tropical update: abc13.com/tropicalupdate

07/22/2026