02/12/2026
What’s Really Happening with CDL Drivers?
From the information available, the total number of CDL holders hasn’t dramatically increased compared to 10 years ago but the bigger issue isn’t just the number. It’s the demographics.
The average truck driver today is around 47 years old, which is older than the overall U.S. workforce. Only about 20% of truck drivers are under 35, even though that age group makes up a much larger share of the general labor force.
Gen Z represents roughly 7–8% of drivers, while Millennials account for around 30% meaning younger generations are significantly underrepresented in trucking.
So while millions of CDLs are active across the country, we’re not replacing retiring drivers fast enough.
At the same time, insurance costs, compliance requirements, and lifestyle challenges make it harder for new drivers to enter and stay in the industry. Many younger workers are choosing career paths with more predictable schedules.
This creates long term pressure on capacity, service levels, and pricing across the supply chain.
What does this mean for the future?
If this trend continues, we could see stronger upward pressure on rates during recoveries, and more focus on retention rather than just recruitment.
The “driver shortage” conversation isn’t just about licenses it’s about workforce sustainability and how we prepare for what’s coming next.
